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Investment bankingFebruary 5 2007

Top of the political pessimism league

When it comes to pessimistic forecasts, Exclusive Analysis is in a league of its own, expecting increasing expropriation risks to foreign investors in Russia, more attempted attacks by terrorists in the UK and an increased risk to energy infrastructure in the Gulf from Sunni extremists.
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The so-called War on Terror “is a purely Western construct” and “its very existence… serves to create the majority of the opposition to it”, it argues in its Foresight 2007.

The political risk analysts add: “A quick glance through the newspaper headlines might suggest that 2007 looks to be a risky year for business. But we believe where there is risk, there is opportunity.” That has always been The Banker’s standpoint.

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