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AmericasMarch 1 2016

Weathering the storm: Brazil's banks stay strong

Brazil’s banks have long experience of steering through choppy financial waters and were able to anticipate the country’s current difficulties with a range of pragmatic and forward-looking measures that have rewarded them with increased profits in a shrinking economy.
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Brazil is facing its worst economic crisis in a generation. Some analysts are predicting gross domestic product falls of nearly 4% in 2015 followed by a similar contraction this year and flat economic growth in 2017.

On top of this, interest rates of 14.25% are among the highest in the world, but this has not halted inflation, which is set to hit 7% this year. Government finances are deteriorating and there is continuing political fallout from the Petrobras corruption investigations. Most concerning of all, Brazil’s most impressive success story of the past decade – that of moving lower income families into the middle classes – risks being undone by rising unemployment and falling wages.

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