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AmericasMay 27 2010

Mexico is well positioned for any global recovery

Aiming high: Well-capitalised banks such as Banamex are giving cause for optimism over Mexico's futureMexico's ties to the US economy, its well-capitalised banks and the business-friendly reforms it has in the pipeline mean the country is perfectly positioned to ride the wave of any global economic recovery. Optimism is such, that there is even talk of the country being classified alongside the BRIC economies. Writer Silvia Pavoni
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Mexico is well positioned for any global recovery

Events have conspired against Mexico in the past few years. The country's economic cycle was on a downward trend even before the global financial crisis erupted, with consumption and credit levels slowing months before the collapse of Lehman Brothers. Its dependency on exports to the US and to the manufacturing and automobile sectors aggravated the situation further. And so did the devastating effects of the H1N1 ('swine') flu, which put the whole country on a standstill for weeks and kept tourists away. With a low tax take limiting any space for countercyclical manoeuvres, the arrival of the global recession hit the country very hard.

Of late, though, Mexico's symbiotic relationship with the US economy is working in the country's favour again. With the US showing signs of a recovery, there are higher expectations for Mexico's future - despite slow levels of domestic demand.

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Silvia Pavoni is editor in chief of The Banker. Silvia also serves as an advisory board member for the Women of the Future Programme and for the European Risk Management Council, and is part of the London council of non-profit WILL, Women in Leadership in Latin America. In 2019, she was awarded an honorary fellowship by City University of London.
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