The proposals by the UK's Independent Commission on Banking are likely to change investment banks’ business models in the country fundamentally. The biggest effect could be to increase their funding costs, which might force more UK companies to turn to bonds instead of loans. But plenty of questions remain unanswered.
The practical, regulatory, technical and operating considerations involved in setting up a ring-fence for retail operations in light of the UK's Independent Commission on Banking's recommendations are so numerous that banks must start making decisions now if they are to meet the 2019 deadline.
Amid calls for greater reporting transparency and more engagement with the lower end of the economic pyramid, Islamic finance is experiencing a revival. But for sharia-compliant institutions to take advantage of the trends emerging in the marketplace, several key events need to take place.
Confidence in the sovereign linker market has been shaken following the credit downgrade of Greece. Demand has soared on AAA rated bonds, but with demand vastly outweighing supply in this sector, investors are turning to the corporate market and direct infrastructure for protection against inflation.
Several emerging markets with large Muslim populations combine low bank penetration and a high return on assets with a relatively small market share for Islamic banking, and thus provide further opportunities for growth in the Islamic finance sector.
The most significant industry trend to date this year has been the resurgence of the Islamic bond (sukuk) market. After a brief setback in 2010, funds raised through global sukuk issues in 2011 stood at $44.7bn in September. But sukuk issuance is still dominated by sovereigns from Asian and Gulf markets and remains concentrated in certain sectors. Four industry experts look at what needs to be done to encourage participation from corporates and facilitate issuances in a wider range of currencies.
With no single interpretation of Islamic law, differences in rulings between scholars over whether products are sharia-compliant has led to a lack of standardisation in the industry. Resolving this issue is key to bringing about greater efficiency, transparency and cohesion – ultimately helping to raise the curtain for more Islamic business, says AAOIFI deputy secretary general Khairul Nizam.
Junk bonds have suffered badly since the start of June, with investors being quick to sell off what is one of the riskiest fixed-income asset classes. But bankers point to the market’s underlying strengths and insist it will only get bigger in the long term.
The Islamic finance industry has undergone rapid growth in recent years, but in representing just 1.5% of global banking assets, it remains a hugely underpenetrated market across many asset classes and geographies. This has led the heavyweight global Islamic players to redefine their strategies to capitalise on these opportunities.
Hong Kong has been the world's biggest initial public offering market for the past two years. Is this a sign of a structural shift in the equity markets, in which companies' capital-raising strategy must include a Hong Kong/China element? And just how much are world leaders London and New York losing out to their Asian rivals?